1 - advertising on the Internet allows the ability to track clicks & conversions. Advertising on the radio, web or otherwise defeats this, so it's not a good form of advertising.
2 - the markets are still very small - most people listening are doing-so while at work - they want something in the background - music. I listen to i-radio, and routinely leave stations with advertising.
3 - land-base dradio will not disappear - it does, contrary to your post, "stand a chance" - it's better established and requires virtually nothing to be listened to - compare the cheapest radio to the cheapest computer...
4 - Podcasting - still VERY niche focused, mostly not professionally produced and still only catering to a small, though growing, market - not everyone has an MP3 player - and even fewer actually download the podcasts...if they can find on on a topic they like. Podcasts are also suffering from a "bandwagon" effect right now - they're so easy to make, everyone thinks they can make some quick money by casting and grabbing a sponsor - real businesses will not advertise here simply because it's unproven.
5 - I have actually done ad buys for our company on Internet radio programs - targeted specifically at our demographic/niche - there was no way to track them, except for traffic from the station's website - and on those numbers - it's not worth it.
Internet radio is a great idea, and it's nice the technology exists for it (heck, I'm listening oline right now), but it's not going to bump land-based radio off the air - they server two separate and distinct markets.
Your stats are interesting, but let's all remember the population base in North America is approaching 300 million people...so that group is still pretty small.
Incidentally, we still don't even know yet if Podcasting is here to stay, or is a fad - give that a couple of years to figure itself out yet...
|